Russian federal spending data suggests an increase in recruitment in Q2 over Q1. On average, 1,000 Russians signed up for the military every day (but there's a caveat).
Assuming bonuses were not privatised, it still means Russia fails to meet its recruitment targets. To replace casualties and grow army and navy and replace retirements across whole army they would need closer to 250,000 per six month. There is a gap of several 10,000
On the other side, the army consumes now > 2/3 of a year getting 18. With all the exceptions from draft - they can not keep that over a long time. Choice will be soldiers or tanks.
It is obviously getting harder to recruit, because they increased bonuses by so much recently. PS: you get the bonus only if you go to fight in Ukraine, not for other positions.
One problem with this calculation, the bonuses at the beginning of the year started at 195,000 RUB and is now 2,000,000 RUB. If you bump up your bonuses per contract to lets say 300,000 you get a lot less new recruits signed up.
There are federal and regional bonuses. The federal one was 195,000 until August, when it increased to 400,000. Most regional bonuses are much higher, but are not paid from the federal budget.
Could you give a link to raw data, please?
This is where you find the budget listings (with VPN): https://budget.gov.ru/%D0%91%D1%8E%D0%B4%D0%B6%D0%B5%D1%82/%D0%97%D0%B0%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BD-%D0%BE-%D0%B1%D1%8E%D0%B4%D0%B6%D0%B5%D1%82%D0%B5/%D0%9E%D1%82%D1%87%D0%B5%D1%82%D1%8B-%D0%BE%D0%B1-%D0%B8%D1%81%D0%BF%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%BD%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%B8-%D0%B1%D1%8E%D0%B4%D0%B6%D0%B5%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%B2
Assuming bonuses were not privatised, it still means Russia fails to meet its recruitment targets. To replace casualties and grow army and navy and replace retirements across whole army they would need closer to 250,000 per six month. There is a gap of several 10,000
On the other side, the army consumes now > 2/3 of a year getting 18. With all the exceptions from draft - they can not keep that over a long time. Choice will be soldiers or tanks.
It is obviously getting harder to recruit, because they increased bonuses by so much recently. PS: you get the bonus only if you go to fight in Ukraine, not for other positions.
One problem with this calculation, the bonuses at the beginning of the year started at 195,000 RUB and is now 2,000,000 RUB. If you bump up your bonuses per contract to lets say 300,000 you get a lot less new recruits signed up.
There are federal and regional bonuses. The federal one was 195,000 until August, when it increased to 400,000. Most regional bonuses are much higher, but are not paid from the federal budget.